04-12-2012, 01:44 PM
WMO’S ROLE IN DISASTER MITIGATION AND RESPONSE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES
DISASTER MITIGATION.ppt (Size: 1.38 MB / Downloads: 77)
Climate change - Third IPCC assessment report - impacts
In 2100 half of the world population will be under water stress
Subtropical zones: Less precipitations; increased desertification
Tropical zones: Increased health risks
High latitudes: permafrost decrease
Coastal zones: coastal erosion; storm surges; salt water intrusions
Cost of global warming in 2050: 300 billion US Dollars per year (Munich Re)
International Framework
ISDR succeeded IDNDR
ProVention
Several significant Declarations, Agendas and Conventions
Millennium Declaration
UNFCCC (climate change)
UNCCD (desertification)
Freshwater Agenda
World Summit on Sustainable Development
Risk Identification
Monitoring
Early warnings for weather water or climate related disasters
Adaptation measures
Vulnerability assessment and Hazard analysis
Risk Identification: Early warnings (3)
Observational data are needed for the study of climate variability and issue of warnings for climate-related disasters - issued from weeks to seasons in advance if adequate climate predictions are available
Regular assessments and authoritative statements on climate variability
Climate alert system for early warnings on pending significant climate anomalies
Knowledge Management (1)
Many hazards associated with high-impact weather involve smaller-scale atmospheric phenomena, which exhibit still low predictive skills (e.g., localized heavy precipitation)
Further improvements in the prediction of high-impact weather and in the full utilization of forecast information
WMO’s World Weather Research Programme
- support to cooperative international research projects and experiments (e.g. THORPEX)
- translate research findings into policy and operational actions for high impact weather phenomena