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2G Auctions – Missing Firework

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INTRODUCTION

In the last couple of years, Indian telecom sector has been affected by the ongoing policy paralysis and regulatory overhang. In February 2012, the Supreme Court of India cancelled 122 telecom licenses issued in 2008 when spectrum was allotted bundled with a license, allocated on a first-cum-first-serve basis. The Supreme Court’s order paved the way for auction-determined pricing for spectrum going forward. As directed by the Apex Court, TRAI came out with a base price for the available spectrum which was more than 10 times expensive than the price paid earlier by the operators. Subsequently the Empowered Group of Ministers lowered the reserve price by around 20%, which is still higher for the debt-ridden telecom operators struggling to bring their bottomline in green. The 2G auctions held during 12-14 November, 2012, witnessed a lukewarm response. Following are the key highlights of the auctions:
There was no bidder for spectrum in the CDMA space.
In the GSM space, out of the proposed 390 MHz of spectrum sale, only 35% was sold in the auction process. Key circles like Delhi, Mumbai, Karnataka and Rajasthan witnessed no takers.
Out of the 11-12 players in each circle, only 5 turned up for the auctions. There was no pan-India bidder.
Out of the 18 circles that witnessed the bids, winning price did not exceed the reserve price in 17 circles. Winning price exceeded by 9% in the Bihar circle.
Government could mop-up only Rs. 94 billion out of the total target of Rs. 400 billion. Even the Rs. 94 billion of payment will be paid in a staggered manner.
Government is planning to re-auction the remaining unsold spectrum before the end of FY 2013.
The Supreme Court of India has asked the government to clarify why the entire spectrum cancelled during Feb. 2012 was not put for auction.
The auctions turned out to be a non-event for incumbent operators like Bharti that applied for one block that too in Assam circle and other players like Rcom, Tata Teleservices, Aircel, BSNL, MTNL stayed away from the auctions. The only incumbent player that participated aggressively was Vodafone, which acquired spectrum in 14 circles.

2G Auction Paves the way for Consolidation

The higher reserve price of Rs. 140 billion for 5 MHz spectrum compared to Rs. 16.5 billion paid by the operators in 2008 proved to be an inhibitor, attracting far lower number of bids than expected. Out of the 8 telecom operators whose licenses were cancelled by the apex court, Etisalat and S-Tel decided to shut their shops in India whereas only Telenor (under the new name ‘Telewings’), Videocon and Idea decided to participate in the auction. Tata Teleservices, Loop Telecom and Sistema refrained from the auction process. Also, the new participants Telewings and Videocon limited their bids to 6 circles each, none of which was in Metro circles.