07-12-2012, 04:59 PM
Hedging with Forwards
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Hedging refers to managing risk to an extent that makes it bearable. In international
trade and dealings foreign exchange play an important role. Fluctuations in the
foreign exchange rate can have significant impact on business decisions and
outcomes. Many international trade and business dealings are shelved or become
unworthy due to significant exchange rate risk embedded in them. Historically, the
foremost instrument used for exchange rate risk management is the forward contract.
Forward contracts are customized agreements between two parties to fix the exchange rate for a future transaction. This simple arrangement would easily eliminate
exchange rate risk, but it has some shortcomings, particularly getting a counter party
who would agree to fix the future rate for the amount and time period in question may not be easy.
Hedging with Futures
Noting the shortcomings of the forward market, particularly the need and the difficulty in finding a counter party, the futures market came into existence. The futures market basically solves some of the shortcomings of the forward market. A currency futures contract is an agreement between two parties – a buyer and a seller –to buy or sell a particular currency at a future date, at a particular exchange rate that is fixed or agreed upon today. This sounds a lot like the forward contract. In fact the futures contract is similar to the forward contract but is much more liquid. It is liquid because it is traded in an organized exchange– the futures market (just like the stock market). Futures contracts are standardized contracts and thus are bought and sold just like shares in the stock market.
Hedging using Options
A currency option may be defined as a contract between two parties – a buyer and a
seller - whereby the buyer of the option has the right but not the obligation, to buy
or sell a specified currency at a specified exchange rate, at or before a specified date,
from the seller of the option. While the buyer of option enjoys a right but not
obligation, the seller of the option nevertheless has an obligation in the event the
buyer exercises the given right.
There are two types of options:
Call options – gives the buyer the right to buy a specified currency at a specified
exchange rate, at or before a specified date.
Put options – gives the buyer the right to sell a specified currency at a specified
exchange rate, at or before a specified date.
The Gold Dinar
Currently derivatives are traded only in select major world currencies like the Yen,
Pound, Australian dollar etc. against the US dollar mostly. For most other currencies
of the world including almost all of developing nations’ there are no formal tools for
hedging against foreign exchange risk. Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia, Philippines,
India etc. are no exception to this.
Recently, the Prime Minister of Malaysia Dr. Mahathir Mohamad had called on such
countries to formulate a gold payment system – the gold dinar – to settle their bilateral and multilateral trades among them and thereby also hedge against foreign exchange risk. In this mode, gold is used as a medium of exchange instead of national
currencies. Price of exports and imports are to be quoted in weights of gold. It is
important that in this structure that gold itself is used for pricing and not national
currencies backed by gold, for otherwise it would not be different from the gold
standard of the past. Instruments backed by gold are subject to easy manipulation that caused the failure of the gold standard.
Hedging using Gold Dinar
In this mode, the central bank would play an important role of keeping national trade
accounts and a place to safe-keep gold. When Malaysia trades with Indonesia for
example, the gold accounting is kept through the medium of central bank and only the
net difference between the two is settled periodically. Hence every transaction in
essence involves gold movement. However since bilateral and multilateral trades are
on-going processes, any gold that needs to be settled can always be brought forward
and used for future transactions and settlements. On the ground, commercial banks
that support gold accounts seem a viable partner in the implementation of the gold
dinar. International trade participants - individuals, businessmen, corporations and
traders - would deal with commercial banks that provide such gold accounts. These
commercial banks would in turn deal with the central bank for their respective gold
accounts.